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INDUSTRY OUTLOOK

  • Micah Moore
  • Feb 9
  • 3 min read



In early 2026, over 15 major restaurant chains are closing locations or restructuring financially.


Confirmed 2026 Closures

  • Pizza Hut: Closing 250 underperforming U.S. restaurants as part of modernization

efforts.

  • Wendy’s: Shuttering 200–350 locations to focus on higher-performing units.

  • Starbucks: Executing a $1 billion plan that includes closing about 400 North American

stores.

  • Noodles &Company: Closing 30–35 more sites after previous reductions.

  • Jack in the Box: May close up to 200 locations to address debt and performance issues.

Chains in Financial Distress or Bankruptcy

  • Hooters: Filed for Chapter 11; selling company-owned stores to franchisees.

  • TGI Fridays: Operating under 100 U.S. locations after a 2024 bankruptcy.

  • On the Border: Filed for bankruptcy, now with about 60 locations.

  • Boston Market: Down to roughly 15 operating stores from an original 1,200.

  • Bar Louie: Managing $50 million in debt following bankruptcy.

  • Smokey Bones: Now at 26 locations after closures and conversions.


Other Chains Expected to Shrink


  • Denny's: Likely to continue closures in 2026 after eliminating 150 sites last year.

  • Outback Steakhouse: Closing over 40 units amid strategic restructuring.

  • Long John Silver's: Fewer than 500 restaurants remain after years of decline.


Optimizing Procurement for Profit: How Strategic Supply Chain Partners Drives EBITDA

for Large Restaurant Groups


In the high-stakes world of large-scale restaurant operations, the difference between a record-

breaking year and a stagnant one often isn't found on the menu—it's found in the supply chain.

Larger chains need to rethink supply chain, logistics, and procurement. It’s a different

environment in 2026 than it was as recently as 5 years ago, and requires bold, new innovative

thinking.

As restaurant groups scale, the complexity of managing thousands of SKUs across multiple

regions can lead to "hidden";costs that quietly erode margins.


Strategic Supply Chain Partners (SSCP) works with large restaurant companies to transform

these logistical hurdles into a competitive advantage, directly lowering the Cost of Goods Sold

(COGS) and bolstering EBITDA. Here is how their strategic approach moves the numbers in

the right direction.


1. Renegotiating Complex Distribution Agreements

Large restaurant groups often operate under outdated Master Distribution Agreements

(MDAs) that include legacy fees or suboptimal pricing tiers. SSCP uses their "insider";

knowledge of distribution logistics to audit these contracts and uncover hidden expenses.


  • The EBITDA Impact: By stripping away unnecessary "add on"; fees and securing more

favorable distribution terms, companies see an immediate reduction in overhead without

changing a single ingredient.


2. Direct Manufacturer Negotiations & Volume Aggregation

While most large chains believe they have "national" pricing, they may still be missing out on

deeper manufacturer rebates or deviated pricing. SSCP acts as an outsourced purchasing

department, negotiating volume directly with manufacturers to bypass intermediate markups.


  • The COGS Impact: Securing long-term procurement contracts for high-usage "center of the plate" proteins ensures price stability and significantly lower unit costs.


3. Precision Auditing and Price Validation

Price creep is a common issue for large-scale operators. SSCP provides rigorous, audited pricing

validation to ensure that the prices charged by distributors match the negotiated contracts.


  • The Operational Advantage: This continuous monitoring prevents "bad contracts" from

draining profitability and ensures that savings identified during negotiations actually

reach the bottom line.


4. Strategic & "Forward buys" on Key Commodities

In a volatile market, the ability to anticipate price hikes is essential. SSCP leverages industry

intelligence to execute "forward buys" on high-usage items, locking in lower rates before market prices climb.


  • The Financial Result: This risk management strategy protects EBITDA from sudden

commodity spikes, providing the budget certainty that CFOs and investors require.


5. Product Line Consolidation Across Brands

For restaurant groups with multiple concepts, there is often massive redundancy in purchasing.

SSCP analyzes data to consolidate like inventory items across different brands.


  • The Bottom Line: Consolidating SKUs allows smaller brands within a portfolio to

access the "large chain" pricing tiers usually reserved for much larger competitors,

driving down COGS across the entire organization.


Why Large Restaurant Groups Should Choose SSCP


Unlike traditional consultants who charge flat fees, Strategic Supply Chain Partners often

works on a contingency basis—if they don't find savings, they don't get paid. This "no risk"

model aligns their success directly with the restaurant's EBITDA growth. Ready to see where

your supply chain is hiding profit?


Learn more at SSC Partners.

Or Contact: Micah Moore @ 225-772-9730 or email: micah.moore@ssc.partners

Chris Rodrigue @ 985-778-1515 or email: chris.rodrigue@ssc.partners

 
 
 

Comments


We are a supply chain organization that provides a strategic "on-site and off-site fully-managed supply chain function" as an alternative to an internal supply organization or a co-op.

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